Pentagon Leaks: Polymarket Insider Trading

Analysts from the non-profit organization Anti-Corruption Data Collective (ACDC) have revealed the scale of a probable leak of confidential information through the popular prediction platform Polymarket. According to their report, over 150 anonymous crypto wallets made exceptionally accurate trades, presumably based on non-public data from US defense agencies. Such activity not only attracts other investors but also poses a serious threat of sensitive information being disclosed to foreign intelligence agencies.

• The "Orca" Tactic

  Researchers examined all completed trades on the platform and identified 556 anomalous wallets, conditionally named *Orcas*. These are accounts that were quickly created, deposited $2500 within an hour on low-probability events (less than 35%), profited in niche areas, and then ceased activity.

• High Accuracy

  Out of this group, 152 wallets exclusively dealt with military and defense-related topics. The average success rate of trades reached 97.2%, and the total profit exceeded $8 million.

• Real Precedents

  The scandal unfolds against the backdrop of a criminal case against US serviceman Gannon King Van Dyke. According to the prosecution, he earned $400,000 by predicting the resignation of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, using insider information. However, Van Dyke himself was not included in the "Orca" list because he opened positions gradually, indicating that the actual volume of leaks on the platform could be even higher.

• Transparency Without Names

  All operations on Polymarket are recorded in a public blockchain system, so financial transactions are visible to everyone, although the identities of the participants remain hidden. The platform's representatives did not comment on the new report, but previously stated that they have strict control systems in place and forward suspicious profiles to law enforcement agencies.

The report's authors emphasize that while the high results of individual participants can formally be attributed to chance, the nature of these actions clearly indicates that digital prediction platforms are beginning to inadvertently disclose secret military operations.